World events affect business decisions

Scaling Dynamics: Regulatory Risks in Global Equity Incentive Structures

This brief examines how compensation design in fast-scaling companies like Hurdle can create misaligned incentives, driving behaviour that conflicts with regulatory expectations and internal risk appetite. The analysis maps key risk pathways from incentive structure to conduct outcome, identifying where the greatest vulnerabilities sit and what strategic adjustments would bring compensation design into better alignment with governance and compliance frameworks.

Base Metals Tariffs: Political Risks for Chinese Supply Chain Exposure

Apollo Association was facing direct exposure to Chinese trade tariffs across their merchandise supply chain, with escalating US-China trade tensions creating urgent uncertainty around sourcing costs, customs risk, and supplier relationships.

This brief delivered a situational analysis of the tariff landscape as it applied to their specific business, mapping the key political and regulatory risks alongside a stakeholder analysis of the actors shaping trade policy. The output gave the client a clear picture of their exposure and a strategic framework for navigating it, whether through supplier diversification, pricing adjustments, or regulatory positioning.

Japanese Market Entry: Political Risks for Investment

Odrysia Capital was evaluating a Japanese market entry amid one of the most uncertain macroeconomic environments in decades: rising interest rate volatility, yen instability, and compounding geopolitical pressures created significant gaps in their existing risk coverage.

This brief mapped those exposures across monetary policy and FX risk, identifying where the portfolio was most vulnerable and where strategic opportunity remained viable. The output gave the client a forward-looking, risk-adjusted view of their Japan prospects.